Budget Board Advisory Proposal for Governance Fund: Season 9

The following is a non-binding proposal for the Collective to consider in passing a Token House Budget for Season 9. The proposal is informed by the Budget Board’s good faith review of historical information provided to the Collective. The content is presented “as-is” without a certification of its accuracy or effectiveness. The Collective is encouraged to review any and all information, including numerical information, made available to the Collective in making its budget determinations.

Summary

This proposal requests a 4.87M OP budget in Season 9 across two Governance Fund missions, representing a 54% decrease from Season 8 (7.24M OP). The reduced budget reflects an effort to preserve the extended runway proposed in Season 8 while still supporting the Collective’s priorities.

The proposed allocations were generated using the same methodology as Season 8’s proposal: By first calculating a baseline OP per mission, using a combination of prior comparable proposals and a target 10-year runway from Season 8 (9.5 remaining). From that baseline, allocations were then adjusted based on each mission’s strategic importance, confidence in ROI, and funding intensiveness.

Like season 8, both missions are proposed above the runway-based baseline allocation.

Season 8 Governance Fund Mission Budget Proposal

See Methodology, Baseline Analysis, Budget Calculation sections for detail

Mission Proposed Budget
Grants Council 3.89M OP
Developer Advisory Board 0.98M OP
Season 8 Total 4.87M OP

Methodology

Estimating Baseline OP per Mission

To extend the lifetime of the Governance Fund, we can work back from an expected runway to get a target per season. Then, we can use historical spend to roughly allocate between missions within this target.

  1. Generate a Baseline OP per Season

    1. `Baseline OP per Season` = `OP Token Allocation Remaining` / `Target Seasons of Runway`
  2. For each mission, find benchmark budgets for prior successful missions.

  3. Use the benchmarks to determine percent allocation of the Baseline OP:

    1. `Baseline OP per each Mission` = [`Benchmark OP for the mission` / `Total Benchmark OP across S8 missions`] * `Baseline OP per Season`

Scaling Each Mission’s Budget

To handle for some seasons and missions requiring a greater or smaller budget, we can score missions based on a set of criteria in order or to scale the amounts up or down (similar to the Retro Funding proposal) .

We assume that every mission proposed has some significant level of importance, so these scores reflect and skew up or down relative to historical benchmarks (e.g., -5 score doesn’t mean something is “bad”).

  1. Score missions based on a set of 3 criteria to increase or decrease the budget for that mission. Scores are an average of budget board members’ inputs.

  2. Strategic Importance: How much more or less influential do we expect this mission to be towards long-term Optimism success.

  3. ROI Confidence: A governor on spend. Is this mission highly experimental, or do similar missions have a strong record of proven results?

  4. Funding Intensiveness: Another governor on spend. If the mission is naturally more funding intensive than prior benchmarks (e.g., new infrastructure spend, increased competition), then the budget may need to be larger.

These can be scored from -10 to +10. This allows for at most a 4x increase above baseline (+30 = +300%). Assuming that all missions proposed have already been deemed important enough to fund, we can cap the downside at a 90% reduction.

See Appendix for sample descriptions of scores.

Baseline Analysis

Baseline Mission Budget

  • 113.1M OP remaining (Source: OP Token Unlock Sheet as of Jan 6 2026)

    • 231.9M OP allocated to Governance Fund - 118.8M OP committed
  • Assume a 10 year runway from Season 8 (9.5 years remaining).

  • 42.2M held out for DAO Operating Budget (estimated 4.44M OP per year * 9.5 years)

    • Note: This is before any potential midpoint adjustments

    • 70.9M OP spendable

  • 3.73M OP Baseline OP per Season

  • 70.9M OP spendable / (9.5 years * 2 seasons per year)

Budget Calculation

Assuming 3.73M OP Total Baseline for Season 9

Mission Share of Total in S8 Baseline OP for S9 Scoring Multiplier Landed OP Budget
Grants Council 86.9% 3.24M OP +1.2x 3.89M OP
Developer Advisory Board 13.1% 0.49M OP +2.0x 0.98M OP

Final Landed OP Budgets rounded to 10k OP increments for simplicity

Mission 1: Grants Council

Proposed Budget = 3.89M OP

  • Baseline = 3.24M OP, Multiplier = +1.2x

Mission 1 Scoring

Factor Score Reasoning
Strategic Importance +3 More critical to support necessary DEX markets
ROI Confidence -1 Always experimental, but we have experience from prior seasons
Funding Intensiveness 0 Expected no more or less intensive than prior
Mission 1 Total +2 1.2x multiplier

Mission 2: Developer Advisory Board

Proposed Budget = 0.98M OP

  • Baseline = 488.7k OP, Multiplier = +2.0x

Mission 2 Scoring

Factor Score Reasoning
Strategic Importance +4 Continued importance for DABs role
ROI Confidence +3 Positive developer feedback
Funding Intensiveness +3 Expected to be a more competitive environment
Mission 2 Total +10 2.0x multiplier

APPENDIX: Descriptions of Score Ranges

Factor -10 Score 0 Score +10 Score
Strategic Importance Mission is substantially less critical than prior missions. We expect little to no relative impact. Mission is just as important as prior missions. Mission is far more critical than prior missions. This is make or break.
ROI Confidence Mission is 100% experimental, we’re throwing things against a wall and seeing what sticks. There is a strong hypothesis that this mission will have positive ROI. There is a strong track record of similar missions providing exceptional results.
Funding Intensiveness Mission requires substantially less funding than prior missions. Mission requires a comparable amount of funding as prior missions. Mission requires substantially more funding than prior missions.
1 Like

Quick question on the –1 ROI Confidence score for the Grants Council.

The proposal does not reference any analytics or outcomes used to justify this adjustment. If this score is based on Season 7 analysis, I want to flag that I have repeatedly requested that report be revisited, as it is incorrect and non-attributive, and the Growth team explicitly confirmed it would not be used for decision-making.

If instead the –1 reflects a qualitative default or uncertainty due to lack of a standardized ROI model, it would be helpful to state that explicitly.

Could the Advisory of the Budget Board clarify:
What data informed the –1 ROI score?
Whether Season 8 GC reporting was reviewed?
Whether this reflects performance or simply measurement uncertainty?

2 Likes